NC State
W-L: (28-26) PR = 92.7725Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Lamar SL (10- 7, 92.6) 7- 1 205 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 3-11 206 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 5- 7 207 H Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 9- 4 207 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 0- 1 213 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 2-16 213 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 13- 7 214 H Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 2-10 214 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 1-14 215 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 2- 9 217 H Queens University ASUN ( 0-11, 85.7) 10- 0 220 H Providence BE ( 0-11, 85.2) 14- 6 221 H Akron MA ( 4-12, 90.6) 7- 3 221 H Providence BE ( 0-11, 85.2) 15- 1 222 H Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 4- 0 227 H Toledo MA ( 2-13, 89.9) 6- 0 227 H Lehigh PAT ( 1- 6, 89.1) 3- 2 228 H Loyola Chicago A10 ( 1-11, 87.9) 8- 2 228 H Toledo MA ( 2-13, 89.9) 9- 3 301 H Loyola Chicago A10 ( 1-11, 87.9) 8- 1 301 H Loyola Chicago A10 ( 1-11, 87.9) 8- 1 303 H Elon CA ( 1-14, 87.0) 14- 2 305 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 4- 3 306 H Stetson ASUN ( 1-13, 91.5) 4- 2 306 H Mercer SO ( 3-11, 86.0) 8- 0 307 H Mercer SO ( 3-11, 86.0) 5- 1 310 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 5- 8 313 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 1- 5 314 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 3- 2 315 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 3- 5 320 A Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 0-10 321 A Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 3-11 322 A Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 1- 2 325 H Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 3- 7 327 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 1-10 329 A Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 5- 1 329 A Syracuse ACC (19-27, 88.9) 10- 0 402 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 6- 9 403 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 3-11 404 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 2- 4 407 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 5- 2 410 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 14- 8 411 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 5- 4 412 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 10- 9 417 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 4-11 418 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 2- 6 419 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 1- 3 424 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 1- 3 425 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 426 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 4- 5 428 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 10- 0 501 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 1- 5 502 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 10- 6 503 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 3- 8 506 A Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 5- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Lamar 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.12
205 A LSU 3-11 -8 -5 - -3.01
206 A LSU 5- 7 -2 -5 + 2.99
207 H Illinois 9- 4 5 4 1.49
213 A Georgia 2-16 -14 -6 --- -8.34
213 H Missouri 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 6.98
214 H Texas A&M 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.73
214 A Texas Tech 1-14 -13 -7 -- -5.79
215 A Arkansas 2- 9 -7 -8 0.64
217 H Queens University 10- 0 10 8 + 2.22
220 H Providence 14- 6 8 8 -0.28
221 H Akron 7- 3 4 3 1.11
221 H Providence 15- 1 14 8 ++ 5.72
222 H Illinois 4- 0 4 4 0.49
227 H Toledo 6- 0 6 4 + 2.34
227 H Lehigh 3- 2 1 4 - -3.37
228 H Loyola Chicago 8- 2 6 6 0.41
228 H Toledo 9- 3 6 4 + 2.34
301 H Loyola Chicago 8- 1 7 6 1.41
301 H Loyola Chicago 8- 1 7 6 1.41
303 H Elon 14- 2 12 7 ++ 5.49
305 H Michigan State 4- 3 1 3 -1.93
306 H Stetson 4- 2 2 2 -0.01
306 H Mercer 8- 0 8 7 0.53
307 H Mercer 5- 1 4 7 - -3.47
310 H Charlotte 5- 8 -3 1 -- -4.21
313 H Pittsburgh 1- 5 -4 3 --- -6.80
314 H Pittsburgh 3- 2 1 3 -1.80
315 H Pittsburgh 3- 5 -2 3 -- -4.80
320 A Virginia Tech 0-10 -10 -5 -- -5.00
321 A Virginia Tech 3-11 -8 -5 - -3.00
322 A Virginia Tech 1- 2 -1 -5 + 4.00
325 H Arizona State 3- 7 -4 -3 -1.06
327 H Arizona 1-10 -9 -4 -- -5.44
329 A Syracuse 5- 1 4 3 0.85
329 A Syracuse 10- 0 10 3 +++ 6.85
402 H North Carolina 6- 9 -3 0 - -2.73
403 H North Carolina 3-11 -8 0 --- -7.73
404 H North Carolina 2- 4 -2 0 -1.73
407 A East Carolina 5- 2 3 1 + 2.25
410 H California 14- 8 6 2 + 3.82
411 H California 5- 4 1 2 -1.18
412 H California 10- 9 1 2 -1.18
417 A Stanford 4-11 -7 -4 - -2.70
418 A Stanford 2- 6 -4 -4 0.30
419 A Stanford 1- 3 -2 -4 + 2.30
424 A Virginia 1- 3 -2 -2 0.46
426 H Virginia Tech 4- 5 -1 -4 + 2.51
428 A Wichita State 10- 0 10 -3 +++ 12.63
501 H Louisville 1- 5 -4 -2 -1.96
502 H Louisville 10- 6 4 -2 +++ 6.04
503 H Louisville 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.96
506 A Louisville 5- 6 -1 -4 + 2.52
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Georgia 2-16 -14 -6 --- -8.34 313 H Pittsburgh 1- 5 -4 3 --- -6.80 403 H North Carolina 3-11 -8 0 --- -7.73 214 H Texas A&M 2-10 -8 -3 -- -4.73 214 A Texas Tech 1-14 -13 -7 -- -5.79 310 H Charlotte 5- 8 -3 1 -- -4.21 315 H Pittsburgh 3- 5 -2 3 -- -4.80 320 A Virginia Tech 0-10 -10 -5 -- -5.00 327 H Arizona 1-10 -9 -4 -- -5.44 205 A LSU 3-11 -8 -5 - -3.01 227 H Lehigh 3- 2 1 4 - -3.37 307 H Mercer 5- 1 4 7 - -3.47 321 A Virginia Tech 3-11 -8 -5 - -3.00 402 H North Carolina 6- 9 -3 0 - -2.73 417 A Stanford 4-11 -7 -4 - -2.70 503 H Louisville 3- 8 -5 -2 - -2.96 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Missouri 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 6.98 329 A Syracuse 10- 0 10 3 +++ 6.85 428 A Wichita State 10- 0 10 -3 +++ 12.63 502 H Louisville 10- 6 4 -2 +++ 6.04 205 H Lamar 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.12 221 H Providence 15- 1 14 8 ++ 5.72 303 H Elon 14- 2 12 7 ++ 5.49 206 A LSU 5- 7 -2 -5 + 2.99 217 H Queens University 10- 0 10 8 + 2.22 227 H Toledo 6- 0 6 4 + 2.34 228 H Toledo 9- 3 6 4 + 2.34 322 A Virginia Tech 1- 2 -1 -5 + 4.00 407 A East Carolina 5- 2 3 1 + 2.25 410 H California 14- 8 6 2 + 3.82 419 A Stanford 1- 3 -2 -4 + 2.30 426 H Virginia Tech 4- 5 -1 -4 + 2.51 506 A Louisville 5- 6 -1 -4 + 2.52 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Lamar (10- 7, 92.6) 7- 1 -7.27 12.10 -0.74 0.47 10.60
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 3-11 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.47 -0.50
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 5- 7 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.47 -0.50
3 H Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 9- 4 -9.90 9.47 -0.74 0.47 8.15
3 A Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 0- 1 -4.45 14.92 0.74 0.47 -0.87
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 2-16 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.47 -0.34
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 13- 7 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.47 12.35
3 H Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 2-10 -3.12 16.25 -0.74 0.47 -0.90
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 1-14 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.47 -0.02
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 2- 9 -0.23 19.14 0.74 0.47 -0.12
3 H Queens Univers ( 0-11, 85.7) 10- 0 -14.16 5.21 -0.74 0.47 4.17
3 H Providence ( 0-11, 85.2) 14- 6 -14.66 4.71 -0.74 0.47 3.70
3 H Akron ( 4-12, 90.6) 7- 3 -9.27 10.10 -0.74 0.47 8.73
3 H Providence ( 0-11, 85.2) 15- 1 -14.66 4.71 -0.74 0.47 3.70
3 H Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 4- 0 -9.90 9.47 -0.74 0.47 8.15
3 H Toledo ( 2-13, 89.9) 6- 0 -10.04 9.33 -0.74 0.47 8.01
3 H Lehigh ( 1- 6, 89.1) 3- 2 -10.75 8.62 -0.74 0.47 7.35
3 H Loyola Chicago ( 1-11, 87.9) 8- 2 -11.98 7.39 -0.74 0.47 6.21
3 H Toledo ( 2-13, 89.9) 9- 3 -10.04 9.33 -0.74 0.47 8.01
3 H Loyola Chicago ( 1-11, 87.9) 8- 1 -11.98 7.39 -0.74 0.47 6.21
3 H Loyola Chicago ( 1-11, 87.9) 8- 1 -11.98 7.39 -0.74 0.47 6.21
3 H Elon ( 1-14, 87.0) 14- 2 -12.90 6.47 -0.74 0.47 5.35
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 4- 3 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.47 8.69
3 H Stetson ( 1-13, 91.5) 4- 2 -8.40 10.97 -0.74 0.47 9.55
3 H Mercer ( 3-11, 86.0) 8- 0 -13.85 5.52 -0.74 0.47 4.46
3 H Mercer ( 3-11, 86.0) 5- 1 -13.85 5.52 -0.74 0.47 4.46
3 H Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 5- 8 -7.60 11.77 -0.74 0.47 -1.95
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 1- 5 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.47 -2.32
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 3- 2 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.47 8.81
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 3- 5 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 0.47 -2.32
3 A Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 0-10 -2.87 16.50 0.74 0.47 -0.50
3 A Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 3-11 -2.87 16.50 0.74 0.47 -0.50
3 A Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 1- 2 -2.87 16.50 0.74 0.47 -0.50
3 H Arizona State (45-18, 96.4) 3- 7 -3.45 15.92 -0.74 0.47 -0.98
3 H Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 1-10 -2.83 16.54 -0.74 0.47 -0.83
3 A Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 5- 1 -11.02 8.35 0.74 0.47 8.49
3 A Syracuse (19-27, 88.9) 10- 0 -11.02 8.35 0.74 0.47 8.49
3 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 6- 9 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 0.47 -1.60
3 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 3-11 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 0.47 -1.60
3 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 2- 4 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 0.47 -1.60
3 A East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 5- 2 -8.62 10.75 0.74 0.47 10.73
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 14- 8 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.47 9.39
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 5- 4 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.47 9.39
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 10- 9 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.47 9.39
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 4-11 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.47 -0.66
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 2- 6 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.47 -0.66
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 1- 3 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.47 -0.66
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 1- 3 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.47 -1.09
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 4- 5 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 0.47 -0.84
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 10- 0 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.47 13.88
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 1- 5 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 0.47 -1.19
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 10- 6 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 0.47 13.33
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 3- 8 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 0.47 -1.19
3 A Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 5- 6 -4.35 15.02 0.74 0.47 -0.84
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200.91
|
winning pts = 225.9664 losing points = -25.0554
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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